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Rational Cops, Rational Robbers, and Information

NCJ Number
91769
Journal
Journal of Criminal Justice Volume: 11 Issue: 5 Dated: (1983) Pages: 459-466
Author(s)
C W Kohfeld
Date Published
1983
Length
8 pages
Annotation
The effectiveness of punishment as a deterrent to crime is commonly held to be a function of the severity and certainty of sanctions.
Abstract
The negative association found between crime rates and lagged clearance rates, which previously has been interpreted as a deterrence effect, is shown in this analysis to be largely an artifact of a misspecified measurement procedure. A more plausible hypothesis that police decision makers are informed and thus respond to changes in crime by allocating resources and making more arrests is supported by evidence from St. Louis data. (Author abstract)

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