WASHINGTON STATE PAROLE BASE EXPECTANCY STUDY

• NCJ Number: 2404
• Author(s): ANON
• Date Published: 1971
• Length: 42 pages
• Corporate Author: Washington Dept of Social and Health Services
• Publication Format: Document
• Publication Type: Statistics
• Language: English
• Country: United States of America
• Note: RESEARCH REPORT, VOLUME 3, NUMBER 21

Annotation

THE REPORT PRESENTS RESULTS OF A STUDY DESIGNED TO DEVELOP PAROLE PREDICTION MEASURES TO AID WASHINGTON OFFICIALS IN THEIR CONSIDERATION OF PERSONS FOR PAROLE.

Abstract

SUCH ACTUARIAL PREDICTION METHODS SEEK TO IDENTIFY THOSE VARIABLES WHICH ARE PREDICTIVE OF PAROLE SUCCESS AND TO DEVELOP PREDICTION TABLES (BASED UPON THESE VARIABLES) IN WHICH PERSONS MAY BE PLACED IN CATEGORIES OF RISK BASED UPON THEIR PAROLE PREDICTION SCORE. PREDICTION MEASURES DEVELOPED FROM A STUDY SAMPLE OF 678 PERSONS WERE TESTED ON A VALIDATION SAMPLE OF 689 PERSONS. BOTH GROUPS WERE FOLLOWED FOR TWO YEARS FROM THEIR INITIAL DATE OF PAROLE IN ORDER TO DETERMINE PAROLE OUTCOMES. STATISTICAL DATA INCLUDED. (AUTHOR MODIFIED)