NCJ Number
136059
Date Published
1991
Length
9 pages
Annotation
This paper analyzes the reasons that a 1986 study predicted major civil disturbances in 1999 and the conclusion for the year 2005 that economic deprivation will be related to crime.
Abstract
The 1986 study used the Delphi Technique with a national panel of experts. Other data, including the author's research, independently suggests the likelihood of increasing crime and civil disturbances. The main factors accounting for this conclusion are the changing age distribution of the population, with increasing numbers of people under 25 and over 65; drug abuse; and increases in the number of homeless children and children born addicted to crack cocaine, who will be improperly socialized and inadequately developed mentally. Other problems are culture conflict within the nation and around the world, ethnocentrism, and xenophobia. Several cases of bias-related violence have occurred in recent years. To address these problems, acknowledgment of their existence and changes in policing are needed.