NCJ Number
130545
Date Published
1990
Length
104 pages
Annotation
On the basis of a futures study on the impact of the aging population on traffic systems management by the year 2000, a model strategic plan and a transition management plan are proposed for the California Highway Patrol.
Abstract
Following environmental scanning, a literature review, and personal interviews, the nominal group technique was used to identify five key trends: life expectancy of Americans, highway speeds, high-tech traffic management systems, highway congestion, and age of the work force. The five probable events considered to be most critical were: an increase to a 65 miles per hour speed limit on all California highways, an increase in the price of gasoline to $3.00 per gallon, a 50-percent reduction in social security payments, the restriction of driver's licenses for older drivers, and an increase in physical standards for driver's licenses. Several policy alternatives are suggested to manage the impact of the aging population on traffic system management and to include the California Highway Patrol taking the lead in establishing a multi-agency/interest group task force. The steps of the strategic plan are outlined. 17 figures, 2 appendixes, and 15 references