NCJ Number
175949
Date Published
1999
Length
16 pages
Annotation
This bulletin presents prison population projections for England and Wales up to the year 2006, based on three scenarios.
Abstract
The three scenarios are: (1) custody rates continue to increase as observed over the past year (0.6 percent for males and 1 percent for females), and sentence lengths increase by 1.5 percent for males and 2 percent for females, leading to a prison population of 73,400 in the year 2006; (2) custody rates increase as in the first scenario but sentence lengths stay at 1998 levels, leading to a prison population of 68,900 in the year 2006; and (3) custody rates and sentence lengths remain at 1998 levels, leading to a prison population of 66,700 in the year 2006. Legislative and policy changes pertinent to the prison projections and the sensitivity of the prison projections to alternative assumptions are discussed. 4 notes, 3 tables, and 4 charts