NCJ Number
102811
Journal
Bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine Volume: 62 Issue: 5 Dated: (June 1986) Pages: 570-578
Date Published
1986
Length
9 pages
Annotation
Accurate prediction of which individuals are likely to commit homicide is
Abstract
The poor successs rate of prediction indicates a need to examine the situations associated with violence rather than only individuals associated with violence. This approach offers the possibility of understanding and possibly predicting some kinds of violence leading to homicide. Data of this kind emerged from the interview study. Some of the 1,200 disputes the subjects described led to violence; others did not. The more serious incidents more often involved younger people and males. Serious incidents more often involved drinking as well. The presence of strangers or third parties was also associated with more serious incidents. The same factors were significant for all three groups. Verbal skills were important in defusing situations. Examining situations this way represents a public health approach that can lead to active intervention. Predictions about individuals are relevant only where individual patterns of behavior are repetitive. 9 references.