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POLICE IN THE 2lST CENTURY: HYPOTHESES FOR THE FUTURE

NCJ Number
147887
Journal
International Journal of Comparative and Applied Criminal Justice Volume: 17 Issue: 1/2 Dated: (Spring/Fall 1993) Pages: 107-120
Author(s)
C J Swank
Date Published
1993
Length
14 pages
Annotation
This article addresses directions for police organizations into the 21st Century.
Abstract
This is a continuation of a study and projections originally done by the business environment section at General Electric in 1967. Their predictions were adapted to the police environment in 1975 and again in 1983. The paper is a longitudinal continuation of the data using the Delphi Technique. The following predictions are based on analysis of those data: (1) There will be a shift away from federal government intervention toward assumption of more control and responsibility by State and local government; (2) There will be movement from a strict concern for only organizational goals (scientific management) to concern for the rights of the individual; (3) Authority relationships will be replaced by participative management; (4) Ideology (dogma) will be replaced by pragmatism (rationality); (5) Conformity to the status quo will yield to individual thinking, pluralism/innovative change; (6) Increased funding will be replaced by accountability and productivity; (7) Instead of a male dominated police culture there will be greater employment and promotion of women; (8) There will be a leveling off of labor activities; (9) There will be more legislative and administrative sanctions to control the use of force; (10) There will be decreasing concern for agency efficiency and effectiveness and increasing concern for justice; and (11) Organizational absolutes will be replaced by individual situational decisionmaking. References