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Neighborhood Housing Investments and Violent Crime in Seattle, 1981-2007

NCJ Number
240587
Journal
Criminology Volume: 50 Issue: 4 Dated: November 2012 Pages: 1025-1056
Author(s)
Maria B. Velez; Christopher J. Lyons; Blake Boursaw
Date Published
November 2012
Length
32 pages
Annotation
This study investigated the effect that levels of mortgage lending have on violent crime levels in neighborhoods.
Abstract
Despite significant advances in the study of neighborhoods and crime, criminologists have paid surprisingly less attention to the extralocal forces that shape violence. To address this issue, the authors drew on an emerging body of work that stresses the role of home mortgage lendinga resource secured via interaction with external actorsin reducing neighborhood violence and extend it by addressing concerns that the lending-violence relationship is spurious and confounded by simultaneity. The authors explored the longitudinal relationship between residential mortgage lending and violence in Seattle with a pooled time series of 118 census tracts over 27 years, and we instrument our endogenous predictors (home mortgage lending and violent crime) with changes in their levels from prior periods. Employing Arellano-Bond difference models, the authors assess both the effect of mortgage lending on violent crime as well as the effect of violent crime levels on mortgage activity. The authors found that infusions of home mortgage lending yield reductions in subsequent violent crime; yet the impact of violent crime on subsequent lending is not significant. Results underscore the importance of incorporating external forces such as home mortgage lending into explanations of neighborhood violence. (Published Abstract)

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