NCJ Number
159233
Journal
Science and Justice Volume: 35 Issue: 4 Dated: (October-December 1995) Pages: 263-266
Date Published
1995
Length
4 pages
Annotation
This paper describes a Bayesian assessment of the evidence against a suspect, given that he or she normally resides a distance away from the crime scene but that eyewitness evidence is available which places him or her at the scene.
Abstract
Calculations are based on the population of Auckland and Hamilton, New Zealand, and take into account the probability of the suspect being in Auckland at the time of the offense, even though he or she normally resides in Hamilton. Calculations demonstrate that eyewitness evidence, even of a general nature, can change the odds ratio by a factor as large as 1,000. Mathematical equations used in the Bayesian analysis are included. 8 references