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Accounting for Demographic Differentials in Forensic Error Rate Assessment of Latent Prints via Covariate-Specific ROC Regression

NCJ Number
310169
Author(s)
Emanuela Marasco; Mengling He; Larry Tang; Sumanth Sriram
Date Published
March 2021
Length
13 pages
Annotation

In this study, researchers work to account for demographic differentials in forensic error rate assessment of latent prints via covariate-specific ROC regression.

Abstract

The ROC regression modeling discussed in this paper can handle both continuous covariates, such as age, and discrete covariates, such as gender and race. The resulting adjusted ROC curve provides error rates that account for demographic information pertaining to each subject. Thus, a better measure of the discriminatory capacity is generated compared to the pooled ROC curve. The challenge of understanding how automated tools might introduce bias has gained a lot of interest. If biases are not interpreted and solved, algorithms might reinforce societal discrimination and injustices. It is also not clear how to measure fairness in algorithms. In biometrics disciplines such as automatic facial recognition, examining images pertaining to male subjects has been proven not to yield the same error rates as examining images from female subjects. Furthermore, recent studies found that automatic fingerprint match scores vary based on an individual’s age and gender. Although the ROC curve has been essential for assessing classification performance, the presence of covariates can affect the discriminatory capacity. It might be advisable to incorporate these covariates in the ROC curve to exploit the additional information that they provide.