NCJ Number
151206
Date Published
1989
Length
113 pages
Annotation
This study assesses the impacts of automated fingerprint identification systems on California law enforcement by the year 1999 by using futures research methodology.
Abstract
Future trends and events were forecast by a modified conventional delphi group, and a cross-impact analysis was done to predict the effects of the chosen events. Based upon the results, three scenarios were developed to examine a nominal, normative, and hypothetical future. Using the nominal scenario as a model, a strategic plan was developed to make the best use of available resources in preparing for the changes that will occur due to fingerprint automation. The stakeholders in the change process were identified, and a WOTS up analysis was done to assess areas of strength and weakness. Using a modified policy delphi, policy alternatives and implementation strategies were identified. A model was developed to assist management in the transition process from the current situation to implementation of the strategic plan. The research projects that four events will probably affect law enforcement in the next 10 years: mandatory fingerprinting to get a driver's license, portable laser fingerprint scanners, DNA process to identify suspects, and live-scan print searches for all firearms purchases. 20 figures