NCJ Number
232642
Journal
Journal of Drug Issues Volume: 40 Issue: 3 Dated: Spring 2010 Pages: 627-652
Date Published
2010
Length
26 pages
Annotation
This study identified a method to project estimates of substance abuse treatment need in the State of Kansas using data collected in the State's annual Communities That Care (CTC) survey of adolescent risk and protective factors.
Abstract
This study projects substance abuse and dependence prevalence rates based on the number of early problem behaviors (tobacco, alcohol and marijuana use, and arrests prior to age 15) reported by youth who have taken part in 11 administrations of the annual Kansas Communities That Care (CTC) survey following a model developed by McGue and Iacono (2005). The probability of males and females developing a substance abuse or dependence disorder at age 17 and 20 was assigned to each respondent. Projections were mapped to show county and statewide dispersions for planning purposes. Projected numbers were much higher than expected. In addition to young adult treatment need, the implications for prevention service planning became readily apparent. The findings highlight missed opportunities for indicated prevention and early intervention services and are further discussed in the context of how early intervention might alleviate demand on the treatment system as adolescents progress into young adulthood. Tables, figures, and references (Published Abstract)