NCJ Number
36447
Journal
Criminology Volume: 14 Issue: 2 Dated: (AUGUST 1976) Pages: 177-188
Date Published
1976
Length
12 pages
Annotation
THIS PAPER PRESENTS A METHODOLOGICAL ANALYSIS OF THE PROBABILITY OF A SINGLE CASE AS IT RELATES TO OUTCOME PREDICTION, EXAMINING THE LOGICAL ASPECTS OF AND ATTEMPTING TO EXPLAIN THE MEANING OF THE PROBLEM.
Abstract
THREE INTERPRETATIONS OF THE CALCULUS OF PROBABILITY ARE CONSIDERED: RELATIVE FREQUENCY, SUBJECTIVE, AND LOGICAL. THE PROPOSAL OF LOGICAL PROBABILITY IS SUGGESTED AS A MEANINGFUL EXPLICATION OF THE PREDICTION AND THE PROBABILITY OF A SINGLE EVENT. REFERENCES ARE INCLUDED.