PREDICTION AND INFERENCE IN CRIMINOLOGY

• NCJ Number: 36447
• Journal: Criminology Volume: 14 Issue: 2 Dated: (AUGUST 1976) Pages: 177-188
• Author(s): S MOVAHEDI; R H OGLES
• Date Published: 1976
• Length: 12 pages
• Corporate Author: Sage Publications, Inc
• Publication Format: Article
• Language: English
• Country: United States of America

Annotation

THIS PAPER PRESENTS A METHODOLOGICAL ANALYSIS OF THE PROBABILITY OF A SINGLE CASE AS IT RELATES TO OUTCOME PREDICTION, EXAMINING THE LOGICAL ASPECTS OF AND ATTEMPTING TO EXPLAIN THE MEANING OF THE PROBLEM.

Abstract

THREE INTERPRETATIONS OF THE CALCULUS OF PROBABILITY ARE CONSIDERED: RELATIVE FREQUENCY, SUBJECTIVE, AND LOGICAL. THE PROPOSAL OF LOGICAL PROBABILITY IS SUGGESTED AS A MEANINGFUL EXPLICATION OF THE PREDICTION AND THE PROBABILITY OF A SINGLE EVENT. REFERENCES ARE INCLUDED.