FUTURE OF CRIME IN THE UNITED STATES FROM NOW TO THE YEAR 2000

• NCJ Number: 2783
• Journal: POLICY SCIENCES Volume: 3 Dated: (1972) Pages: 27-45
• Author(s): J F COATES
• Date Published: 1972
• Length: 19 pages
• Corporate Author: Elsevier North-Holland, Inc
• Publication Format: Article
• Publication Type: Survey
• Language: English
• Country: Netherlands
• Note: PRESENTED AT THE FIRST ASSEMBLY OF THE WORLD FUTURE SOCIETY, WASHINGTON, D.C., MAY 14, 1971

Annotation

CRIME RATE STATISTICS AND PREDICTIONS OF FUTURE CRIME IN THE UNITED STATES.

Abstract

SOCIETAL FACTORS ARE IDENTIFIED WHICH ARE DRIVING TOWARD QUALITATIVE AND QUANTITATIVE CHANGES IN THE PATTERN OF CRIME IN THE UNITED STATES. SOME OF THESE FACTORS WILL AMPLIFY WHILE OTHERS WILL DIMINISH THE IMPORTANCE OF CURRENT CATEGORIES OF CRIME. THEY WILL ALSO LEAD TO NEW CRIMES OR INCREASED RELATIVE SIGNIFICANCE TO CERTAIN CRIME CATEGORIES. ON THE OTHER HAND, THE INTERACTION OF THESE FACTORS ALSO MAY LEAD TO THE VIRTUAL EXTINGUISHMENT OF SOME CRIMES OR TO THEIR REMOVAL FROM THE ROSTERS OF ILLEGALITY. AGAINST THAT BACKGROUND SOME OPPORTUNITIES AND NEEDS FOR PUBLIC POLICY DECISIONS AND RELATED RESEARCH ARE SUGGESTED. (AUTHOR ABSTRACT MODIFIED)