NCJ Number
34748
Journal
Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency Volume: 13 Issue: 1 Dated: (JANUARY 1976) Pages: 48-63
Date Published
1976
Length
16 pages
Annotation
THIS PAPER DEVELOPS A GENERAL THREE-EQUATION SIMULTANEOUS MODEL FOR EXAMINING THE INTERRELATIONSHIP BETWEEN CRIME CAUSATION, POLICE OUTPUT, AND DEMAND FOR POLICE USING TWO-STAGE LEAST SQUARES ESTIMATION.
Abstract
THE MODEL'S DEPENDENT VARIABLES ARE CRIME RATES, ARREST RATES, AND PER CAPITA POLICE. INDEPENDENT VARIABLES INCLUDED ENVIRONMENTAL, SERVICE, AND SOCIOECONOMIC CONDITIONS. IT IS FOUND THAT RELATIVE ILLEGAL WAGES (THE EXPECTED PAY OFF FROM COMMITTING VARIOUS TYPES OF CRIMES) HAVE A STRONG POSITIVE INFLUENCE ON CRIME, BUT POLICE ACTIVITY (ARRESTS) CAN RETARD CRIME. FURTHER POLICE LABOR (WAGES) IS POSITIVELY RELATED TO POLICE OUTPUT (NUMBER OF PER CAPITA POLICE) AND PROPERTY CRIMES ARE MORE IMPORTANT THAN OTHER TYPES OF FELONIES IN INCREASING THE DEMAND FOR POLICE. A SELECTED BIBLIOGRAPHY AND A LIST OF DATA SOURCES ARE INCLUDED.