Drug Addiction and Criminality - A Model for Predicting the Incidence of Crime Among a Treatment Population

• NCJ Number: 83090
• Journal: Journal of Drug Issues Volume: 12 Issue: 3 Dated: (Summer 1982) Pages: 293-303
• Author(s): B J Rosenthal; K Nakkash
• Date Published: 1982
• Length: 11 pages
• Publication Format: Article
• Language: English
• Country: United States of America

Annotation

Based on widely accepted methods for predicting the incidence of drug abuse among a treatment population (Hunt, 1976; Nakkash, 1977), the present study utilized this incidence of crime among (1) predict the expected incidence of crime among a drug abusing treatment population; (2) determine the impact of treatment upon the identified criminal activities; and (3) develop a probability model for determining the expected level of both drug abuse and crime subsequent to the treatment experience.

Abstract

The methodology modified the Incidence Model to include the variables of year of first criminal involvement, and number of crime-free and drug-free days before, during, and after treatment. The data used for this study was taken from two related sources: (1) the 1977 Client Oriented Data Acquisition Process (CODAP); and (2) the results from an Incidence, Prevalence and Cost-benefit Study conducted by Richard Katon Associates. (Author abstract)