NCJ Number
2234
Date Published
1968
Length
25 pages
Annotation
BASE EXPECTANCY TABLES, USED BY THE CALIFORNIA YOUTH AUTHORITY (CYA) SINCE 1959, HAVE BEEN APPLIED TO TOTAL POPULATION OF MALE WARDS RELEASED TO PAROLE SUPERVISION.
Abstract
SEVERAL SUBPOPULATIONS OF THAT POPULATION WITH THE OBJECTIVE OF IDENTIFYING ONE OR MORE AS HAVING A GREATER PREDICTIVE EFFICIENCY OF PAROLE SUCCESS ARE EXAMINED. THE SUBGROUPS WERE ADMISSION, READMISSION, AND TOTAL ADMISSION. THE BASE EXPECTANCY TABLES OF EACH WERE COMPARED. IT WAS CONCLUDED THAT IN TERMS OF PREDICTIVE EFFICIENCY, THE TOTAL ADMISSION TABLE WAS SOMEWHAT SUPERIOR TO BOTH FIRST ADMISSION AND READMISSION TABLES. THIS PARTICULAR FINDING WAS BY NO MEANS A NECESSARY ONE AND THERE MAY WELL EXIST OTHER SUBPOPULATIONS FOR WHICH SPECIFIC BASE EXPECTANCY TABLES MIGHT BE MORE APPROPRIATE. UNTIL SUCH TIME AS THESE SUBPOPULATIONS ARE IDENTIFIED, IT WOULD APPEAR THAT A SINGLE BASE EXPECTANCY TABLE WILL BE ABLE TO SATISFY CURRENT YOUTH AUTHORITY NEEDS FOR THIS TYPE OF INSTRUMENT. (AUTHOR MODIFIED)