SOCIAL DATA AND RESPONSE MODELS - THE CASE OF CRIME RATES

• NCJ Number: 28203
• Journal: QUALITY AND QUANTITY Volume: 9 Dated: (1975) Pages: 95-106
• Author(s): G CARLSSON
• Date Published: 1975
• Length: 12 pages
• Corporate Author: Elsevier
• Publication Format: Article
• Language: English
• Country: Netherlands

Annotation

THIS ARTICLE DEALS WITH THE ANALYSIS OF SOCIAL DATA SUBJECT TO CHANGE THROUGH TIME AND THE EXPLANATION OF FORECASTING OF CHANGE.

Abstract

SWEDISH THEFT AND BURGLARY RATES BETWEEN 1950 AND 1973 ARE USED TO ILLUSTRATE A FORECASTING MODEL BASED ON STIMULUS PRESSURE AND SOCIAL RESPONSE. EMPHASIS IS PLACED ON AGGREGATE CHANGE AS IT APPEARS IN MANY SOCIO-DEMOGRAPHIC SERIES. REFERENCES ARE INCLUDED.