NCJ Number
16195
Journal
Criminology Volume: 12 Issue: 2 Dated: (AUGUST 1974) Pages: 155-173
Date Published
1974
Length
19 pages
Annotation
THIS PRELIMINARY STUDY ATTEMPTS TO PREPARE THE FOUNDATIONS FOR OBTAINING A VALID PREDICTIVE MEASURE FOR THE CHANCE OF 'SUCCESS' FOR A PRISONER LEAVING THE FLORIDA PENAL SYSTEM.
Abstract
A RANDOM SAMPLE OF 200 FLORIDA PRISON SYSTEM RELEASEES IS ANALYZED FROM SEVERAL VANTAGE POINTS. PAROLEE VERSUS EXPIREE POPULATION DIFFERENCES ARE STUDIED AND A VARIANT OF THE CALIFORNIA BASE EXPECTANCY SCALE IS CONSTRUCTED FOR FLORIDA. TO OVERCOME THE WEAKNESS OF UTILIZING THE SAME PREDICTIVE MODEL FOR A BROAD SPECTRUM OF PRISONERS, AN ATTEMPT IS MADE TO DESCRIBE HOMOGENEOUS SUBPOPULATIONS. THROUGH THE USE OF CLUSTER ANALYSIS, ONE SUCH SUBPOPULATION IS IDENTIFIED AND PREDICTIVE ABILITY FOR THIS GROUP IS SHOWN TO BE GREATLY INCREASED. FACTORS USED IN PREDICTION INCLUDED EDUCATION, INTELLIGENCE, MARITAL STATUS, HOME LIFE, CRIMINAL HISTORY, AND NARCOTICS USE. (AUTHOR ABSTRACT MODIFIED)